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Dec 14, 2012
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people are concerned about the inventory building in china putting a lid on the stock. now, i am looking for a lid to be blown off by a turn in china eventual l. maybe not this quarter. while the u.s., i think, is strong because of foot locker, but some analyst came out today and said u.s. is even weak. remember, nike trades on futures orders, not on earnings. so if you're dumb enough to want to trade in after hours, be aware, you might be trading on the wrong number. friday. these are big brand names. what a big week next week. friday we get results from walgreen's. i feel badly for wag. we just heard from cvs yesterday which boosted its numbers. that's a tough comparison to go against. i don't know how walgreen's can keep up. i will say this, though, the drug stores have been in secular share take mode from other stores, which is one reason why cvs was able to deliver such a strong number p. and i think walgreen's will show better numbers now that it's put its express scripts tiff behind it. moving over to cvs. that was really he helpful for c slchlt s. the gigantic p
people are concerned about the inventory building in china putting a lid on the stock. now, i am looking for a lid to be blown off by a turn in china eventual l. maybe not this quarter. while the u.s., i think, is strong because of foot locker, but some analyst came out today and said u.s. is even weak. remember, nike trades on futures orders, not on earnings. so if you're dumb enough to want to trade in after hours, be aware, you might be trading on the wrong number. friday. these are big...
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Dec 20, 2012
12/12
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where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking on telecommunications may be going through a lull or slower period with government spending and bess spending, capital spending down, we have some other parts of our business that are doing extremely well. you mentioned some of the mechanics business we're involved in which we call our consumer technology business. that has nothing to do with electronics so we don't have to sell any electronic hardware for those businesses to perform well. parts of our business are a reflection of the economy and other parts of our business are growing very robustly. so i'm very hopeful for the balance of the year and, you know, i think the company is diversified enough to take advantage of whatever opportunities are out there. >> okay. i am so
where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking on telecommunications may be going through a lull or slower period with government spending and bess spending, capital spending...
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Dec 17, 2012
12/12
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and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android are catching up. we were just talking there. jon pointing out the other competition out there. stock down 25% in the last three months. you remain bullish though. why? >> i do. i think a lot of the selling has to do with capital gains taxes. i think it was from the 700 level. and then you had another wave of it with long-term capital gains taxes. fears of that after the election we think caused an issue. we think that's why the stock is down. we still think it's quite solid. >> what about the competitive environment? stewart, that's one you've been looking
and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android...
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Dec 13, 2012
12/12
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china is growing as a luxury buyer. and although their falloff, tiffany's had high profile warnings base and weaker china, they're going to grow % next year and on top of that the following year. how do you call it quilts here? >> the power gauge is my guide here. china retail sales were up 15% recently. that came out of the blue. you have to go with a disciplined approach to the stocks. if the power gauge is bearish, and it's not bearish on all, but if the power gauge is bearish, i think this is a great place to raise cash. >> we're showing charts and the gauges for tiffany as well as coach and they are very l leveraged to china. >> no doubt. >> the negative power gauge there. there is one stock that you brought with you, mark, that is positive in terms of the power gauge, and that is yahoo!, a pick of steve's for a long time. >> i like it for some of the same reasons. but the key here is they are hiring engineers. they bought on the air and the reason is they know these engineers from google. they've been terribly und
china is growing as a luxury buyer. and although their falloff, tiffany's had high profile warnings base and weaker china, they're going to grow % next year and on top of that the following year. how do you call it quilts here? >> the power gauge is my guide here. china retail sales were up 15% recently. that came out of the blue. you have to go with a disciplined approach to the stocks. if the power gauge is bearish, and it's not bearish on all, but if the power gauge is bearish, i think...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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america owes more than $16 trillion to debtors like china and that number is growing by billions a day. we are spending $1 trillion a more than we take in every year. you can do the math on that and see if we didn't curb that trend. a day of reckoning will come. nearly 100% of the fight in washington has been about taxes and if we should be raising rates or getting revenue by limiting deductions for that same group. the president has dug in his heels on this issue. treasury secretary timothy geithner making it clear this weekend there will be no deal if rates do not go higher. i don't understand this insistence. if you want to get $100 from me do you care where i get it from? no. you just want your money and the white house is ready and willing to let america go over the cliff over the way the so-called wealthy pay more. something does not make sense here to me. something else makes less sense, namely that we are spending so much time and energy on the tax issue. if we are serious about cutting our deficit we must be having a frank discussion about medicare. the white house and gop hav
america owes more than $16 trillion to debtors like china and that number is growing by billions a day. we are spending $1 trillion a more than we take in every year. you can do the math on that and see if we didn't curb that trend. a day of reckoning will come. nearly 100% of the fight in washington has been about taxes and if we should be raising rates or getting revenue by limiting deductions for that same group. the president has dug in his heels on this issue. treasury secretary timothy...
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Dec 26, 2012
12/12
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industrial metals that got a boost as we saw rallies in asia on hopes that maybe this new regime in china is going to be spending more helping to prop up the property department there, housing, than might mean more demand for industrial metals. copper today, the standout in part because of that. also, a different note, the s.e.c. ahead of the holiday delayed a decision on the proposed etf, according to the "wall street journal," the etf would hold twice as much copper in terms of holdings compared to the jpmorgan holding approved on december 14th. >> i think 182,000 physical tons they could take off the market. we'll revisit it later. for a moment, thank you. bob pisani is joining me on the floor of the nyse. the big discussion is about retail and what the figures from mastercard tell us. >> i just want to point out that the dow industrials dropped in the middle of the day. there had been some concern the house leadership which is all coming back now did not send out a 48-hour notice to their membership requiring all the members to show up and vote, even though there's no fiscal cliff dea
industrial metals that got a boost as we saw rallies in asia on hopes that maybe this new regime in china is going to be spending more helping to prop up the property department there, housing, than might mean more demand for industrial metals. copper today, the standout in part because of that. also, a different note, the s.e.c. ahead of the holiday delayed a decision on the proposed etf, according to the "wall street journal," the etf would hold twice as much copper in terms of...
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Dec 28, 2012
12/12
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i know the average income in china, 3500 to 4,000 u.s. dollars and the average home in beijing trades at 100 times income, that makes me a little nervous. you know more about asia than i do. >> when you get those average income numbers, that's encompassing a very vast country. when you look at the house prices on the eastern seaboard, places like shanghai and beijing, it's a small sliver obviously of that. it's not really apples and apples. it's apples and oranges. i don't know how to say that in chinese. i'm sure there's a fantastic saying to say it's not apples and apples. >> apparently our predictions are happening. the dow is coming back. i'm kidding. >> we're still down. we're back above 13,000. there you go. >> comeback. >> on the way to a record high. >> come back ten points, but it clearly is my prediction on a good dow next year. that can be the only reason. >> soak it up, baby. soak it up. >> yeah, right. >> come it up. i'm staying good-bye here. imheading off to the closing bell. up next what the fiscal cliff could mean for mom
i know the average income in china, 3500 to 4,000 u.s. dollars and the average home in beijing trades at 100 times income, that makes me a little nervous. you know more about asia than i do. >> when you get those average income numbers, that's encompassing a very vast country. when you look at the house prices on the eastern seaboard, places like shanghai and beijing, it's a small sliver obviously of that. it's not really apples and apples. it's apples and oranges. i don't know how to say...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if we don't get that $45 billion a month program that actually creates money supply, i think you might see a little selloff. but i think it's priced in at this point. so i think we do have a big question mark here. but it may be answered this week. i think that's what traders are focused on. it's a big last three days after a quiet two days this week. >> i want to ask rick about that in a moment. you're in the camp that any deal of the fiscal cliff will be positive for the market at this point. right? >> any type of rhetoric coming out of washington, d.c. has put a bid
china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if...
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Dec 1, 2012
12/12
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we are waiting on china mobile. china mobile has more subscribers than americans in america. that could be the next stage of growth. >> if you had to bet higher or lower on apple. >> mike was right. i would say higher from here. it is reasonably priced. >> and the promise of a special dividend. >> a reminder as we head to break if you want updates be sure to follow us on twitter. dan posts regular updates of his trades on twitter. if you are on facebook stay posted throughout the week at facebook.com/optionsaction. and you don't want to miss it with thinkorswim by td ameritrade. you get knock-your-socks-off tools, simple one-click orders, real-time paper trading to hone your skills, plus anytime you need it support. ♪ stocks, options, futures, and forex. get your trading on track. thinkorswim by td ameritrade. trade commission free for 60 days, plus get up to $600 when you open an account. >>> that is our very own mike showing off his moves. you can create your own gangnam style video through jib jab. could be very scary stuff as you see and definitely in the category of op
we are waiting on china mobile. china mobile has more subscribers than americans in america. that could be the next stage of growth. >> if you had to bet higher or lower on apple. >> mike was right. i would say higher from here. it is reasonably priced. >> and the promise of a special dividend. >> a reminder as we head to break if you want updates be sure to follow us on twitter. dan posts regular updates of his trades on twitter. if you are on facebook stay posted...
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Dec 21, 2012
12/12
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china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud play and the use of it in the competition here, is that one of the key names? >> yes, it allows you to manage cloud in a cheap -- an anti-microsoft business. their partner is sales force.com. i'm really using these as tells. in other words, these are the ones where there's natural buyers. as we just found out how good things are. it wasn't like we found out a month ago. we just found out last night. if they have resilience, the market is going to be more resilient than people think. if they give up the ghost, i think next week's going to be difficult,
china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud...
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Dec 17, 2012
12/12
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their user base is highly mobile in china. these guys have to prove to people they can compete in the same space that google is trying to but they dominant. they don't have any competitors out there and this s.e.c. investigation into the chinese internet names is overdone. this is a great place on the chart. momentum is with you. >> pete, you're going to tim's girl, actually. >> tim's old girl. everybody's hated nokia. this stock was underneath $2 a share. i think this thing is fascinating. the 920 phone and the fact they actually have a contract with china mobile. 700 million subscribers, more than that. this company with the windows 8, i think there's a lot of different catalysts out there. we saw you unusual activity in this name. it was trading around $2. today, $4 a share. i think nokia's not going to beat up on apple, but if you want performance, that's the name to be in. >> gain market share at apple's expense? >> i think they can gain some market share. i don't know if it's at apple's expense, htc, whoever it is going
their user base is highly mobile in china. these guys have to prove to people they can compete in the same space that google is trying to but they dominant. they don't have any competitors out there and this s.e.c. investigation into the chinese internet names is overdone. this is a great place on the chart. momentum is with you. >> pete, you're going to tim's girl, actually. >> tim's old girl. everybody's hated nokia. this stock was underneath $2 a share. i think this thing is...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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but at least the silver lining is positive for china. but realize, china is $8 trillion. our market is about twice the size. so we really need those manufacturing numbers to kick in next year. but of course there have been so many good confidence and housing numbers to sort of buttress that weaker number yesterday. > what is your stock strategy in the current market? > > i think the big question everyone has to ask themselves is, do i need microsoft, cisco, and intel in my portfolio? they have been laggards for years. microsoft at least has been paying some good dividends. it's kind of appreciated somewhat over the past couple of years. but you know, that pc market is not really happening; it's all the tablets and the smartphones. so, you have to ask yourself, next year, do i keep these stocks in my portfolio? so many people own them. > yes or no? what is the answer? > > i am going to give them another year, but intel is really on the chopping block, despite the fact it pays such a good yield. but we just have to see what the business trends are going to be in the first q
but at least the silver lining is positive for china. but realize, china is $8 trillion. our market is about twice the size. so we really need those manufacturing numbers to kick in next year. but of course there have been so many good confidence and housing numbers to sort of buttress that weaker number yesterday. > what is your stock strategy in the current market? > > i think the big question everyone has to ask themselves is, do i need microsoft, cisco, and intel in my portfolio?...
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Dec 18, 2012
12/12
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you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to go up too much and they can't have it go down too much because it will hurt the bank. so we're in a holding pattern. they are looking to liberalize the overall economy. you've seen the stock market rally. that's based on the assumption that growth is stabilizing and, more importantly, i think the new administration is going to try to do liberalize and the message is, don't expect us to lower rates to try to reduce growth. that's what they did in the past that created bubbles and issues. i think what they are going to try to quietly do is stabi
you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to...
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Dec 15, 2012
12/12
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the iphone's not selling well in china. something i heard today. we heard they don't have the same carrier sponsors. samsung is loved over there. that means numbers may come down again. why not take them down, do it simultaneously with taking the price target down, particularly one that's become an absurdity in the high 700s. that's exactly what one analyst did today, cut the price target and the numbers, which were too high. and that frightened people. my take on apple, i am not dogmatic, people, but i'll give you my story. my charitable trust owned it for a long time. one of our longest held positions. we did some selling about 90 points ago. why? because the stock had gone up so much that we had become the apple fund. so we took some profits. i confess to also being worried that the company lacks any new omg products and that could dim the company's long-term prospects. but we're holding on to the rest of our position in the trust because i think apple's a good investment that's inexpensive, even after the analyst numbers we got today. can't tra
the iphone's not selling well in china. something i heard today. we heard they don't have the same carrier sponsors. samsung is loved over there. that means numbers may come down again. why not take them down, do it simultaneously with taking the price target down, particularly one that's become an absurdity in the high 700s. that's exactly what one analyst did today, cut the price target and the numbers, which were too high. and that frightened people. my take on apple, i am not dogmatic,...
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Dec 26, 2012
12/12
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it's not in china play. no, they have a small percentage of their sales in china and some tourist business here so you can forget about that, but even if it were, china sales are down. >> and i think we're saying the same thing in essence. my belief is, look, they're coming after this consumer discretionary spending. they came after the luxury end. they came after coach. there's not much juice to squeeze out. on the other side of that that gives the potential for coach to rally. >> i'd rather go to nordstrom. i'd rather play the luxury end. >> why nordstrom? >> i'm not counting on coach and coeurs. the high end consumers, there are have i few places for them to go in terms of broad line. >> the high end consumer rolls over altogether both you guys lose? >> absolutely. what i'm saying is that you're going to lose less. in the luxury space i mentioned before tiffany, i think the benefit that you have with tiffany, this is another name that you could play, is you've got that exposure to the potential recovery i
it's not in china play. no, they have a small percentage of their sales in china and some tourist business here so you can forget about that, but even if it were, china sales are down. >> and i think we're saying the same thing in essence. my belief is, look, they're coming after this consumer discretionary spending. they came after the luxury end. they came after coach. there's not much juice to squeeze out. on the other side of that that gives the potential for coach to rally. >>...
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Dec 19, 2012
12/12
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china coming back. gm rationalizing europe. >> gm europe, when you say a couple quarters behind ford, are you saying progress in the quarterly financials? >> committed to rationalizing europe. >> again, a larger theme of excess capitalization at u.s. corporations, and the fact that so much money is sitting on balance sheets doing nothing. >> did you read oracle? how much money do they have. they bought back 10 billion worth of stock. these companies, you read through their stories, and you say, not only did they not extend themselves during this downturn, they conserved a lot of cash. by the way, humans did, too, in america. have you seen the numbers that the federal reserve put out last night about how much money is being -- how little debt is being taken down by citizens. we're back to levels of the '90s. federal household debt service came out last night. the percentage of disposable income is 14%, down to 10%. that's 1994 levels. >> that's a big part of morgan stanley's call on citi today. from over
china coming back. gm rationalizing europe. >> gm europe, when you say a couple quarters behind ford, are you saying progress in the quarterly financials? >> committed to rationalizing europe. >> again, a larger theme of excess capitalization at u.s. corporations, and the fact that so much money is sitting on balance sheets doing nothing. >> did you read oracle? how much money do they have. they bought back 10 billion worth of stock. these companies, you read through...
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of course, china's interest is purely self-interest here. the last thing he needs it needs is a slowdown in consumer spending. after all, where would the chinese and their economy be if it weren't for america? that's right. a lot more to come during this hour. what this tax fairness mean? i will break down the numbers. folks like warren buffett don't want to talk about this. and aaa and unusual warning about a blend of gasoline. the federal government wants you to start using the gas. to start using the gas. but will it damage your you know how painful heartburn can be. for fast, long lastinrelief, use doctor recommended gaviscon®. only gaviscon® forms a protective barrier that helps block stomach acid from splashing up- relieving the pain quickly. try fast, long lasting gaviscon®. i've got a nice long life ahead. big ans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i looked at my options. then i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male aouncer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers ab
of course, china's interest is purely self-interest here. the last thing he needs it needs is a slowdown in consumer spending. after all, where would the chinese and their economy be if it weren't for america? that's right. a lot more to come during this hour. what this tax fairness mean? i will break down the numbers. folks like warren buffett don't want to talk about this. and aaa and unusual warning about a blend of gasoline. the federal government wants you to start using the gas. to start...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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starbucks is not slowing down in china. we see slowdown in china from yum! brands. we also see it from tiffany's. starbucks had a very, very good quarter. the stock gapped higher. analyst howard schultz said the right thing, they are not slowing down in china. green mountain i think has problems. they have too much competition. they have a lot of inventory. there is possible accounting. i would not be selling puts in a stock like green mountain, that you could blink your eye, it could be $25 next week. > > it went down from $110. i'm comfortable owning it at a lower level. i think- > > what level? it traded at $29- > > if i buy it at $30, i can live with that- > > it just traded 18 two months ago- but to get back to starbucks, starbucks is going into tea in india. that's big. > round number three: tip top ten. 10 s&p stocks make up 80% of the index climb. is that bullish or bearish for equity markets? > > obviously it is bullish. if you look at what stocks have rallied this year, we talked about it last week, is the banks. the banks have been on fire. apple is one o
starbucks is not slowing down in china. we see slowdown in china from yum! brands. we also see it from tiffany's. starbucks had a very, very good quarter. the stock gapped higher. analyst howard schultz said the right thing, they are not slowing down in china. green mountain i think has problems. they have too much competition. they have a lot of inventory. there is possible accounting. i would not be selling puts in a stock like green mountain, that you could blink your eye, it could be $25...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive use on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off. with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about young? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the over seas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts for 49% of the company's profits. the latest decline of the same store sales is permanent. they got sick of kentucky fried chicken and pizza hut. it seems as if the colonel may have gotten busted down to private. and i'm calling it a bump but a severe bump in the road. it is true that they are facing pressure. the so called tier one cities. 4% decline in sales is not a good thing. and there is no doubt new found competition among chicken houses. however, young is dealing, you know with the first issue by shifting emphasis
and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive use on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off. with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about young? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the over seas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts...
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Dec 28, 2012
12/12
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all of those things lead us to be believers in the china story. on europe we've been early and big believers in the draghi road map. yes they're in a mild recession. we think they come out of it in the second half. >> which is why i'm going more toward the second half. >> but the debt markets, the sovereign credit markets we think remain stable. and u.s. equities are more correlated to the spanish and italian bond yields than they are to european gdp. we likehe european influence next year. >> let's say your focus is more on the united states right? if you're buying stocks, you believe your thesis that we're going to get to 1550 at a minimum consumer discretionary is tops on your list the second best performing sector this year behind financials. you think that continues to work why? >> we've seen profit taking on the cliff but by the same token this is an area that has the most to gain if we get a cliff deal and that is our base case. we also like industrials. there we don't think the china recovery and the better tone in europe are fully priced.
all of those things lead us to be believers in the china story. on europe we've been early and big believers in the draghi road map. yes they're in a mild recession. we think they come out of it in the second half. >> which is why i'm going more toward the second half. >> but the debt markets, the sovereign credit markets we think remain stable. and u.s. equities are more correlated to the spanish and italian bond yields than they are to european gdp. we likehe european influence...
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Dec 17, 2012
12/12
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we didn't talk about china at all. china is evidencing, from every angle, a soft landing. >> well, they're not talking about doing any additional big stimulus package? >> they probably don't need to. so we're that going to get acceleration on the other side but we're not going to have this fall, and where is this going to stop? if you have china, okay. the u.s. a little better. europe less bad. it's going to be an okay economic -- >> you get everything you want, fiscal cliffwise and we actually start tackling some of these long-term issues, you know diffident taxes are heading up. what -- is the market spring loaded so that if we get what we want it will be a really solid advance that we get? >> solid, look, joe, and in a muddle through economy solid is only a mid teen number. we're not going to get 30% gain. >> put the two years together we could have 30, if we get some of the things -- >> we had three straight years at 30. >> that was a different world. earnings were higher. they're flagging a bit now. >> if everybod
we didn't talk about china at all. china is evidencing, from every angle, a soft landing. >> well, they're not talking about doing any additional big stimulus package? >> they probably don't need to. so we're that going to get acceleration on the other side but we're not going to have this fall, and where is this going to stop? if you have china, okay. the u.s. a little better. europe less bad. it's going to be an okay economic -- >> you get everything you want, fiscal...
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Dec 17, 2012
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stuart: i know you are not as familiar with china as you are with japan, but nowadays we think of china as the economic superman. do you think there's a chance that in 25 years we'll be looking at china as in terminal decline >> i don't know about terminal decline. there's something called a window of opportunity. that window doesn't actually close till about 2025. japan's window opened in 1950 and closed in roughly 1997 i believe. i have to check my numbers. but yes china is going to have the same problem that japan does but it's so much bigger sheer number of people that it probably won't be until 2025 or 2030. stuart: i find this fascinating. you and i share an interest in demographics. i think it is one of the great movers and shakers of any economy around the world. keith, thank you very much for joining us. i want to do more on this in the next year. okay? we will do it. thank you very much. >> thanks. stuart: we will have more varney & company for you in a moment. stuart: we have been following very carefully a big drop in gas prices and it continues. the national average today i
stuart: i know you are not as familiar with china as you are with japan, but nowadays we think of china as the economic superman. do you think there's a chance that in 25 years we'll be looking at china as in terminal decline >> i don't know about terminal decline. there's something called a window of opportunity. that window doesn't actually close till about 2025. japan's window opened in 1950 and closed in roughly 1997 i believe. i have to check my numbers. but yes china is going to...
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Dec 19, 2012
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strong demand is expected in china and india in the next 5 years. while the surge in coal exported from the u.s. to europe-- should peak soon. toyota confirms it will have to pay a record $17.35 million fine. it's being levied against the car giant because it delayed recalling nearly 150,000 lexus rx models due to unintended acceleration problems. the impact on toyota's image may be blunted given that it's in a race with arch rival honda to see which company will be hit with more safety recalls in 2012. morgan stanley will pay $5million penalty over facebook's ipo. regulators in massachusetts are fining the brokerage firm for allegedly disclosing facebook's revenue shortfall to analysts -- but not the general public. according to reports.. morgan stanley alerted analysts a week before facebook ipo-ed on the nasdaq. one of the latest deals on wall street has the media in focus. nielsen which already is said to have a monopoly on gathering tv ratings... is moving into the radio market. nielsen is buying arbitron for $1.26 billion dollars. the deal sti
strong demand is expected in china and india in the next 5 years. while the surge in coal exported from the u.s. to europe-- should peak soon. toyota confirms it will have to pay a record $17.35 million fine. it's being levied against the car giant because it delayed recalling nearly 150,000 lexus rx models due to unintended acceleration problems. the impact on toyota's image may be blunted given that it's in a race with arch rival honda to see which company will be hit with more safety recalls...
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Dec 27, 2012
12/12
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they expand their presence in china. year to date. on a serious note, serious topic. smith and wes son, that stock moving higher again today. another $15 million buy back. there it is, $20 million buy back. maybe sadly we know that gun sales have, indeed, risen lately. the vix. the volatility index. measure of fear in the market, if you will, back above 20 for the first time since july 25th mandy. >> maybe it's about time. >>> in the meantime, commodities have had their ups and downs in 2012. will the roller coaster continue in 2013. we have some predictions. >> reporter: resources that come out of the ground hinge on everything from the weather to how easily it's found in nature. the worst drought in nearly 50 years sent agricultural commodities skyrocketing in the summer. wheat, soy beans, oats, and especially corn were some of the best performers in the market. in light of the devastation to many crops, farmers will ramp up plantings to record levels. and if weather patterns return to normal, then production will reach new highs and pressure grain prices along the
they expand their presence in china. year to date. on a serious note, serious topic. smith and wes son, that stock moving higher again today. another $15 million buy back. there it is, $20 million buy back. maybe sadly we know that gun sales have, indeed, risen lately. the vix. the volatility index. measure of fear in the market, if you will, back above 20 for the first time since july 25th mandy. >> maybe it's about time. >>> in the meantime, commodities have had their ups and...
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Dec 14, 2012
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Dec 19, 2012
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china is the key to this story. i'm not a bull on china. if you are, that's the bull's case. >> pete, who made the more compelling argument in this case? >> i said beforehand i wasn't going toeith my brother. actual actually, i am. i tend to be a bull on china. i tend to be a bull on the global economy coming back in a big way. i think fedex is going to be the beneficiary. i think the icing on the cake is exactly what john put out there, which is the express. if they actually -- if that starts to come back better, i think the sky is the limit. >> we'll close the case on this one. there may be more optimism on housing, but one of the nation's most respected voices on that topic isn't ready to sound the all clear. it's robert shiller. he joins us on the fast line. welcome back. >> my pleasure. >> there's a lot of optimism about housing. what are we missing? >> a lot of people seem to think if the market turns around, that means more of the same, meaning another big boom. i don't think that's in the cards. we might see home prices go up a litt
china is the key to this story. i'm not a bull on china. if you are, that's the bull's case. >> pete, who made the more compelling argument in this case? >> i said beforehand i wasn't going toeith my brother. actual actually, i am. i tend to be a bull on china. i tend to be a bull on the global economy coming back in a big way. i think fedex is going to be the beneficiary. i think the icing on the cake is exactly what john put out there, which is the express. if they actually -- if...
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Dec 28, 2012
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. >> i've been reading kissinger's book on china, but he raises's broader question which is important. unfathomable as it is to americans there are parts of the world where they do not believe in alienable rights, right? they don't believe in human rights in the way that we do. >> exactly. and when we try to impose it on them they consider it a violation of their sovereignty. >> exactly. >> china feels that way often. russia, same thing. how far do we go in promoting human rights? the trade off that we'll get here. the law gets passed and human rights violators in russia can't come year and now 1,000 children don't come to the united states and people who want them don't get them. >> my personal view, no. they're glad to take our money and they've long had to put their money overseas, but they do not want human rights promotion and we've seen that inside russia and we've seen that against the crockdown on the internet and this is just the latest interaction of the series of things going back for more than a year against the political opposition and what they see is the u.s.-sponsored
. >> i've been reading kissinger's book on china, but he raises's broader question which is important. unfathomable as it is to americans there are parts of the world where they do not believe in alienable rights, right? they don't believe in human rights in the way that we do. >> exactly. and when we try to impose it on them they consider it a violation of their sovereignty. >> exactly. >> china feels that way often. russia, same thing. how far do we go in promoting...
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Dec 17, 2012
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you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be big. >> it is expected to give guidance for 2013. there's a 2:00 p.m. eastern time conference call, i believe, associated with that. so we may be learning some things in terms of at least our expectations next year from ge. increased its dividend last week, that not that long ago during the financial crisis was cut. rather substantially. over the last year, ge capital has begun paying a dividend yet again to its parent ge. and so it will be interesting to hear. we should point out ge still owns 49% as well as universal. >> ge made a major move. into oil and
you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be...
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Dec 29, 2012
12/12
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you're getting from your company years down the road will be taxed at 30%, or would you started in china or india where the capital gains tax rate is zero? many of our major partners have zero capital gains tax rates. if you are an entrepreneur or an investment and growth company, you would rather put your money there than in the united states in the future, which is really unfortunate. gerri: okay, let's talk about companies a little bit here. these tax rates are critical to growing companies. >> that's absoluty right. apple and microsoft, for example, benefited early on from high income individuals pumping and a few hundred thousand dollars to help those companies get started and grow. those high income people could alternatively put their money in and say tax-free muni bonds. if we raise the capital gains tax rates, which people are going to say, i'd ther put my money in state muni bonds. i'm not i am not going to fund these risky growth companies, which would be terrible for the overall economy. gerri: i think your best argument is lower capital gains means more jobs. i think that is
you're getting from your company years down the road will be taxed at 30%, or would you started in china or india where the capital gains tax rate is zero? many of our major partners have zero capital gains tax rates. if you are an entrepreneur or an investment and growth company, you would rather put your money there than in the united states in the future, which is really unfortunate. gerri: okay, let's talk about companies a little bit here. these tax rates are critical to growing companies....
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Dec 30, 2012
12/12
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lot of good public health things beg done and the rest of the world that is dominateing, india and china, but in the 60's they ssed the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. todaen we land, 2010, tse are the countries that borro money theichest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the lower left for thousands of years, it has been 200 years that you have all of this activity and how comeome countries are still stuck? >> it is easy to understand. the best message today is that most of thefrican countries are now in fast economic growth. they have correctedthe wrong market ideas they had 20 years ago, and they have a much better education than, -- and tanzania is similar to thailand in 1972 and soon we will see african countries doing good. >> this is wonderful. our problems are solved w know wh works and we will be rich. >>guest: no, we ha this problem with t billion human beings in poverty. i did mos
lot of good public health things beg done and the rest of the world that is dominateing, india and china, but in the 60's they ssed the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. todaen we land, 2010, tse are the countries that borro money theichest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the lower left for...
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Dec 29, 2012
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i mean, can we be tough or russia because they're less important to us than say, china or saudi arabia? >> i think the russians would like us to be tougher. what is quite interesting is that vladimir putin might have stepped out too far on this issue. there are 600,000 orphans in russia right now which is more than they had during the time of world war ii. now, oftentimes the russians and russian public opinion can be quite anti-american except in this case almost 40% of russians actually support the act which when you consider it it's not a majority, but coming from a country that's often anti-american and public opinion that's really significant. >> when putin was signing the thing he said, so what if the living standards in other countries are better than ours? so what? i don't care. should we all move there? he doesn't really care. >> well, actually what he's touching on is another debate, a demographic debate which he is very worried about that many russians, young russians are leaving the country. russia's population is in decline. what president obama should do is stick to his g
i mean, can we be tough or russia because they're less important to us than say, china or saudi arabia? >> i think the russians would like us to be tougher. what is quite interesting is that vladimir putin might have stepped out too far on this issue. there are 600,000 orphans in russia right now which is more than they had during the time of world war ii. now, oftentimes the russians and russian public opinion can be quite anti-american except in this case almost 40% of russians actually...
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Dec 19, 2012
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/china relationship? >> well, i think that it's a little too early to tell that this is symptomatic of the new administration. but i do expect that there will be progress in certain areas. china has been asking the u.s. to lift restrictions on high-tech exports. and i gather that the obama administration is consider something kind of overhaul of the current restrictions. so there might be some change there was benefit to china. and on the u.s. side, the u.s. would like china to lift restrictions on imports of livestock. and it looks like china is willing to do that on a gradual basis. so i think that there would be some positives coming out of these meetings today and tomorrow. >> and lastly, frank, what would be the most significant policy move period to come from this. again, aside from the news we've already heard about the import duties, are you looking for any big-name tie-ups, or is this about meeting and shaking hands, especially because the u.s. leadership still isn't settled, erkts speci especial
/china relationship? >> well, i think that it's a little too early to tell that this is symptomatic of the new administration. but i do expect that there will be progress in certain areas. china has been asking the u.s. to lift restrictions on high-tech exports. and i gather that the obama administration is consider something kind of overhaul of the current restrictions. so there might be some change there was benefit to china. and on the u.s. side, the u.s. would like china to lift...
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Dec 14, 2012
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that's not necessarily a bad thing when it hits for china markets. in all likelihood you'll see a rally. >> if you don't want emerging market debt, you can buy this and get the exposure? >> that's absolutely correct. you don't have the same accounting concerns. you buy multi-national u.s. global companies with better accounting control. >> michael, thank you very much. >>> gold prices are on the down side for this week. it's been kind of a brutal week for the precious metals. final floor trades in metals being made right now. live coverage of the close is coming up on "power." >> announcer: cnbc program is sponsored by mercedes benz. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] the mercedes-benz winter event is back, with the perfect vehicle that's just right for you, no matter which list you're on. [ santa ] ho, ho, ho, ho! [ male announcer ] lease a 2013 c250 for $349 a month at your local mercedes-benz dealer. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to
that's not necessarily a bad thing when it hits for china markets. in all likelihood you'll see a rally. >> if you don't want emerging market debt, you can buy this and get the exposure? >> that's absolutely correct. you don't have the same accounting concerns. you buy multi-national u.s. global companies with better accounting control. >> michael, thank you very much. >>> gold prices are on the down side for this week. it's been kind of a brutal week for the precious...
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Dec 19, 2012
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the world bank sees china expanding by 8.4% next year. it's expecting that it will be fueled by fiscal stimulus and the faster implementation of large investment projects. today's forecast is higher than an earlier one that was sited in a world bank report in october. 8.4%, not bad both if you can get it. >>> speaking of china, the united states is moving forward with plans to slap steep anti-dumping duties on wind turbine towers that are imported from china at prices that are deemed unfairly low. the news from the commerce department comes as u.s. officials welcomed a high-level chinese delegation for trade and economic talks. the u.s. trade panel has final approval over the duties and is expected to vote on the case in late january. >>> in corporate news, ubs hit with a $1.5 million fine today. that will add up, a few more of those. the swiss bank admitting to fraud, it paying bribes to brokers. and pervasive, they call it manipulation of libor by dozens of staff. the penalty was agreed to with u.s., u.k., and swiss regulators. it is mo
the world bank sees china expanding by 8.4% next year. it's expecting that it will be fueled by fiscal stimulus and the faster implementation of large investment projects. today's forecast is higher than an earlier one that was sited in a world bank report in october. 8.4%, not bad both if you can get it. >>> speaking of china, the united states is moving forward with plans to slap steep anti-dumping duties on wind turbine towers that are imported from china at prices that are deemed...
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Dec 22, 2012
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we know china's economy is on the mend. that's good news for mgm china. they have one resort right now but back in october mgm got permission to build a hotel and casino on the strip which is a huge new development of macau. it will take years to get this up and running. most don't expect it to open until 2016 or 2017 but gives mgm growth down the road. growth guys love that stuff. mgm popped off lows. not caught the bottom here. if you wait for fiscal cliff related pullback, you probably will do better and you know they'll give us a couple. in this uncertain environment there's nothing better than a good old fashioned turnaround story. mgm gives you a three headed turnaround. clean up the balance sheet, vegas is improving, china is growing too. bet on mgm when the fiscal cliff looms next strike and this as well as all other stocks get hammered. craig in my home state of new jersey. craig? >> caller: how are you doing? >> what's going on, partner? >> caller: calling about expedia. how you feel about that? >> i feel really good about that. i follow this cl
we know china's economy is on the mend. that's good news for mgm china. they have one resort right now but back in october mgm got permission to build a hotel and casino on the strip which is a huge new development of macau. it will take years to get this up and running. most don't expect it to open until 2016 or 2017 but gives mgm growth down the road. growth guys love that stuff. mgm popped off lows. not caught the bottom here. if you wait for fiscal cliff related pullback, you probably will...
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Dec 26, 2012
12/12
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david: they are doing gangbusters in china as well, the samsung galaxy is far outpacing the iphone 5 right now. >> what rimm has going for it is they do have 78 million subscribers and they are known for the security. they are known for a compression technologies that make the web surfing faster. if the user experience of blackberry 10 and developers don't get excited about the next platform, then they are toast. david: one thing they have surprised me about iphone or about apple in general, is they haven't taken advantage of the problems that rimm has to get into the business market. they are so focused on getting the new jazzy thing for the consumer, rather than the business user, that they haven't tried to invade that market. does that surprise you? >> yes, to a certain degree. i think mostly on the ipad they are making a lot more inroads than they are with the iphone. iphone is sort of still a back door sort of deployment. i think once -- sort of microsoft might wind up helping apple in the sense that a lot of people think they are developing office for ios. if that comes out, i
david: they are doing gangbusters in china as well, the samsung galaxy is far outpacing the iphone 5 right now. >> what rimm has going for it is they do have 78 million subscribers and they are known for the security. they are known for a compression technologies that make the web surfing faster. if the user experience of blackberry 10 and developers don't get excited about the next platform, then they are toast. david: one thing they have surprised me about iphone or about apple in...
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Dec 27, 2012
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this whole sector's had a nice rally on positive china data. so, i think the stock is just pulling back a little bit more than 2% today, but still in a bullish formation. >> and we have a drop here for presents. a drop for presents? tired of tube socks? sick of scarves? here's a problem that many people face. what do you do with the unwanted holiday gifts? more than 350 users have posted items on ebay with the heading unwanted christmas presents and with many rejected presents still wrapped, you can strike it rich on one of these unloved gifts. >> you just had to throw the inlaws in there, right? >> not like i have any experience. but i would imagine that might be difficult. >> that's the regifting move. i like it. >>> coming up next, call it the hottest trade on earth. why a plunging yen is creating big opportunities. >>> and later, the "twilight" movie saga grossing $3 billion for lionsgate. we find out what's next for the company as its stock soars. that's coming up next. ♪ ...could end with adding a close friend. the lexus december to rem
this whole sector's had a nice rally on positive china data. so, i think the stock is just pulling back a little bit more than 2% today, but still in a bullish formation. >> and we have a drop here for presents. a drop for presents? tired of tube socks? sick of scarves? here's a problem that many people face. what do you do with the unwanted holiday gifts? more than 350 users have posted items on ebay with the heading unwanted christmas presents and with many rejected presents still...
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Dec 12, 2012
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. >> china is an ally and expressed regret over the launch. we report that north korea may have up to a few dozen nuclear weapons that could be fitted on top of ballistic missiles. just in the past hour, police in oregon gave us an update on the mall shooting that left three people dead. we are learning the identity of the shooter. plus as the administration deals with the new laws legalizing marijuana in washington and colorado, former president jimmy carter weighs in on legalizing pot. >> i'm in favor of it. i think it's okay. >> that by the way is one of the things we thought you should know. [ male announcer ] red lobster's hitting the streets to tell real people about our new 15 under $15 menu. oh my goodness! oh my gosh, this looks amazing! [ male announcer ] our new maine stays! 15 entrees under $15, seafood, chicken and more! oo! the tilapia with roasted vegetables! i'm actually looking at the wood grilled chicken with portobello wine sauce. that pork chop was great! no more fast food friday's! we're going to go to red lobster. yep. [
. >> china is an ally and expressed regret over the launch. we report that north korea may have up to a few dozen nuclear weapons that could be fitted on top of ballistic missiles. just in the past hour, police in oregon gave us an update on the mall shooting that left three people dead. we are learning the identity of the shooter. plus as the administration deals with the new laws legalizing marijuana in washington and colorado, former president jimmy carter weighs in on legalizing pot....
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Dec 5, 2012
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some of these companies enter into china, enter into india, and you can't just plant a flag. you have to understand the market. it's an exceptional story. >> and for medical? >> this is again because of our ageing market going to be a huge, tremendous growth story over the growth industry over the next 10 to 20 years. >> and she did it without any notes. that's amazing. good job. >> good to see you. thank you so much. we appreciate it. we're in the final stretch of trading. we have a market holding on to gains. 20 minutes before the closing bell sounds. the dow industrial average up 116 points right now. >> citigroup's job cut a big gain for financials today. is citi on the right course right now with these cuts? will the financials lead the market higher or lower this month? we'll look that the coming up. >>> bank of america also up 6% right now. >>> mean while, congress lee leaving for a long weekend. really? yes, they are leaving for a long weekend. they just left. treasury secretary geithner will weigh in exclusively at 4:00 p.m. eastern. [ male announcer ] at scottrade,
some of these companies enter into china, enter into india, and you can't just plant a flag. you have to understand the market. it's an exceptional story. >> and for medical? >> this is again because of our ageing market going to be a huge, tremendous growth story over the growth industry over the next 10 to 20 years. >> and she did it without any notes. that's amazing. good job. >> good to see you. thank you so much. we appreciate it. we're in the final stretch of...
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Dec 10, 2012
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advantageous platform for manufacturing other than for china. stuart: do you think many of these jobs will come back, many of them will come back to america? >> many of them will come back to the u.s. austin consulting group says in 2015 you'll see seven industries it will be cheaper to manufacture in the u.s. than china and all sorts of manufacturing deals here. >> what. >> transportation costs are lower. delivery to market is slashed. energy prices are much cheaper. your work force is more productive and less likely to go out on strike. stuart: wait, wait a minute. the work force in america is more productive and less likely to go on strike than china, is that right? >> in china you have one wild cat strike after another, and suicide. and they make the products for apple said 10,000 robots and in 2014 one million. wh you have robot production, that minimizes china's cheap labor. and in california where they have facilities with robots it's just as cheap orrer than a robot in shin sheng. you wait a minute how come you're so wrong, china hasn't
advantageous platform for manufacturing other than for china. stuart: do you think many of these jobs will come back, many of them will come back to america? >> many of them will come back to the u.s. austin consulting group says in 2015 you'll see seven industries it will be cheaper to manufacture in the u.s. than china and all sorts of manufacturing deals here. >> what. >> transportation costs are lower. delivery to market is slashed. energy prices are much cheaper. your...
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Dec 31, 2012
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but strong data out of china on manufacturing. we have a 5% gain year to date in copper. copper higher but logging losses for the year. platinum losing more than 10%. simon, back to you. >> thank you, jackie. behind the headlines we are doing very well at nasdaq. out performance there own likes of apple seema mody, up 3.5%. >> absolutely. apple shares definitely helping nasdaq given the fluidity of the situation in washington, simon, hard to predict where the markets will end on the day. right now seeing session highs of 1.2%. as you mentioned, apple shares providing a nice lift to the nasdaq. recent note from topeka capital, an insatiable appetite in hong kong and china for the ipad mini. some of the bullish commentary notes. facebook shares also up 2.6%. upgrading the stock from sell to buy, writing that facebook has ad spending from large brands. interestingly enough, look the at as in dab 100 just for q4, facebook made that list. other stocks on the list include yahoo! virgin media and green mountain coffee. sue, back over to you. >> thank you, seema. >>> we are waiti
but strong data out of china on manufacturing. we have a 5% gain year to date in copper. copper higher but logging losses for the year. platinum losing more than 10%. simon, back to you. >> thank you, jackie. behind the headlines we are doing very well at nasdaq. out performance there own likes of apple seema mody, up 3.5%. >> absolutely. apple shares definitely helping nasdaq given the fluidity of the situation in washington, simon, hard to predict where the markets will end on the...
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Dec 28, 2012
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got my mba from the university of miami and many peopl from all ports of the world, india, europe, china, who wanted to stay here after they graduated and work on their companies, create new start-ups, but they were unable to do so because after you graduate you get a job with an existing company or you leave and for many them that was not a good option and they left and took their ideas and companies with them. >> so th get their fancy education here and go back to indian or somewhere else. >>guest: w would like to stem the tide and keep them closer, and bring them back to the united states so they can create new job and new companies. >> if they worked for a company they could have stayed? >>guest: if you get sponsored by a large corporation you can get the prop visas to work in the country but you cannot self sponsor and you cannot be here and create your own start-ups without going through some pret significant legal work. >> to build this big ship where people live cost as lot of money and peop are actually giving you money fo this? >>guest: theface book funder and creator of pay pa
got my mba from the university of miami and many peopl from all ports of the world, india, europe, china, who wanted to stay here after they graduated and work on their companies, create new start-ups, but they were unable to do so because after you graduate you get a job with an existing company or you leave and for many them that was not a good option and they left and took their ideas and companies with them. >> so th get their fancy education here and go back to indian or somewhere...
52
52
Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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china has experienced slowing growth over the past seven quarters. fast or fiction the chinese economy is picking up at this point. tim, what do you say to this? >> fast. >> fact. >> i'm going to call this a fast because i do agree that they have turned the corner on the industrial side and the manufacturing side and the consumer side. housing prices have ticked up. our friend dave does a consumer survey that i think is very accurate and it goes to the more organic growth side and i think the consumer has turned. remember the shanghai comp is not the chinese economy. if you look at technical indicators there are guying screening the table. i do think china looks very interesting for a lot of people. >> i think people at home are going to start thinking to themselves what happened to yum brands. >> so did tiffany. >> why the disconnect here? >> you have to understand that yum has a couple of specific issues. yum is not the only guy out there. >> it is the biggest guy out there. >> i think when you have competition and their comps were significantly hi
china has experienced slowing growth over the past seven quarters. fast or fiction the chinese economy is picking up at this point. tim, what do you say to this? >> fast. >> fact. >> i'm going to call this a fast because i do agree that they have turned the corner on the industrial side and the manufacturing side and the consumer side. housing prices have ticked up. our friend dave does a consumer survey that i think is very accurate and it goes to the more organic growth side...
98
98
Dec 27, 2012
12/12
by
FBC
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in his holding cell in china. gerri: regulators didn't see the last crisis. the kelihood is not high. but what more regulators would look at? >> fairly narrow things like the liquidity risk, interest rate risk, different things happening in the financial markets. now, what they are trying to do is look more broadly. for example, what sort of risk management systems these banks have in place? are they planning for the next ceo? are they communicating to the employees what sort of risks they want to undertake? gerri: didn't we see that with jpmoan chase? they made the big a big bet and lost a ton of dough? >> exactly. you can consider regulators are trying to take a more holistic approa -- pardon me for using outward. gerri: if they only knew how. they are so far away from what really goes on in these prints. it's hard for them to even understand businesses. how likely do you think it is that we will have another bailout? >> i think that obviouslwhen we have the next crisis, certainly the question will be when interest rates go up what will happen? it also rais
in his holding cell in china. gerri: regulators didn't see the last crisis. the kelihood is not high. but what more regulators would look at? >> fairly narrow things like the liquidity risk, interest rate risk, different things happening in the financial markets. now, what they are trying to do is look more broadly. for example, what sort of risk management systems these banks have in place? are they planning for the next ceo? are they communicating to the employees what sort of risks...